Circle's stock has seen an upward trend despite a pessimistic analyst report from Jefferies. Recent data indicates that USDC not only dominated the stablecoin market but also processed more than double the adjusted trading volume of Tether's USDT in June.
Stablecoin Trading Volume Insights
Circle reported that USDC accounted for an impressive $1.21 trillion in adjusted trading volume in June, significantly overshadowing USDT's $573 billion. This makes USDC responsible for a notable 67% share of the total stablecoin trading volumes, according to Visa data analyzed by Zach Pandl, Head of Research at Grayscale. Overall, stablecoins experienced a record trading volume of $1.78 trillion.
Technical Analysis and Market Reactions
In technical terms, CRCL's stock has shown resilience, managing to close 4% higher at $64 on July 2 and reaching around $66 in pre-market trading on July 6. However, for bulls in the market, a breach of the Supertrend resistance is crucial to confirm a potential trend reversal.
Jefferies issued a warning on July 2 regarding the possible impact of a new competitor, OUSD, on Circle's market positioning. This warning followed a sharp decrease in CRCL's stock, its most considerable drop since March, attributed to the OUSD launch and Circle's removal from several Russell indexes.
Market Dynamics and Institutional Support
Despite Jefferies' caution, confidence appears to be supported by institutional buying. On the same day as the bearish note was announced, ARK Invest revealed that they had purchased approximately $17.8 million worth of Circle shares, signifying institutional belief in Circle’s future.
Interestingly, even though USDC retains a commanding lead in trading volume, its market capitalization has seen a slight decline from $73.75 billion on June 30 to $72.87 billion by July 6. This drop may suggest some investors rotating their capital following the OUSD launch, yet USDC maintains its solid position in the market.



