According to blockchain analysis from Nansen, approximately one million purchasers of the Official Trump (TRUMP) meme coin are collectively dealing with a staggering loss of $3.81 billion. The cryptocurrency has plummeted to nearly 98% below its peak value recorded in January 2025.

This decline appears to follow the typical trajectory seen in many meme coins. Early adopters enjoyed significant profits, while those who came in later bore the brunt of the post-launch fallout.

TRUMP Meme Coin: A Rapid Rise and Fall

Launched on January 17, 2025, just days before then-President Donald Trump's second inauguration, the TRUMP token initially soared from under $1 to a remarkable $73.43 in just 48 hours. This surge catapulted its market valuation to nearly $15 billion.

Nansen's tracking revealed around 1.48 million wallets that acquired the token, with just below 500,000 investors managing to secure profits of about $4 billion. Most of these earnings benefited early traders who sold during the first rally.

However, later buyers became what analysts refer to as 'exit liquidity'. Nansen identified 988,905 wallets that are currently at a loss, indicating that roughly two-thirds of buyers are facing considerable financial setbacks. Interestingly, the official TRUMP website warned potential buyers that the coin should not be considered an investment.

The Broader Implications of Celebrity Coins

The unfolding situation aligns with trends previously noted by analysts focusing on celebrity-endorsed meme coins. A similar rapid collapse occurred in February 2025 with the LIBRA token, promoted by Argentine President Javier Milei, which lost much of its nearly $4 billion value within hours, leading to investigations for fraud.

Net Gains for Creators Amidst Losses for Retail Investors

Despite the token's free fall, those behind its creation have remained largely unaffected. The token's coding allocates a portion of every transaction to wallets associated with its creators. In fact, Chainalysis documented over $324 million earned in these fees following the launch.

Regardless of the coin's price performance, these fees continued to flow into creator-linked accounts. Trump's 2025 financial disclosure later indicated a hefty $636 million benefit from the meme coin, with royalties routed through CIC Digital, the company associated with Trump.

Meanwhile, ordinary buyers find themselves with minimal legal protections. In a statement from the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) in February 2025, meme coins were classified as non-security products, thus removing them from regulatory oversight.

Economist Peter Schiff characterizes these tokens as a means for patrons to gain access to the president rather than as legitimate investments. He remarked that engaging in such a purchase appears to serve as a covert way to influence political figures without direct financial contributions.